The 2027 budget needs another €469 million: where is the promised spending review report?

The 2027 budget needs another €469 million: where is the promised spending review report?

The 2027 budget needs another €469 million, LTV's “De facto” reported on 11 October; €441 million is for implementing 21 earlier decisions. New ministry priorities are excluded. This funding need is not the overall budget deficit. LTV report.

Information checked on the morning of 12 October 2026.

Promises versus delivery: which deadline applied?

Point 14.1 of the government's action plan required an information report on the spending review results to be prepared by 1 October 2026. The Ministry of Finance is responsible, with all ministries involved.

On 12 October, LTV's “Kas notiek Latvijā?” reported that the deadline was missed. We found no public evidence to the contrary when preparing this article.

Meanwhile, the budget preparation timetable schedules Cabinet consideration of the report for 10 November. Preparation and consideration are two different stages. The November date does not, by itself, establish that the October task was completed.

Assessment: the deadline is documented; LTV reports that it was missed. This warrants asking the Ministry of Finance for the specific date the report was prepared and its findings. Non-publication alone would not prove that the document had not been prepared.

What does the €12 million figure actually mean?

On 7 October, Minister Māris Kučinskis cited €12 million redirected to other needs, distinguishing this from reallocations within ministries, LTV reports.

However, in explaining the previously adopted budget, the Ministry of Finance had already identified €304.6 million in spending reductions for 2027. Claiming that total savings so far amount to only €12 million would therefore ignore earlier decisions.

These figures cannot simply be added together or subtracted from the new funding need. First, it is necessary to establish what is already included in the budget baseline, where funds have been reallocated and whether a reduction has a permanent or one-off effect.

Reviewing spending does not necessarily mean reducing it

In its 1 October explanation, the Ministry of Finance cites detailed examination of 43% of spending and 56 initial reform options. The ministry acknowledges that the measures mostly envisage reallocations within sectors.

The share of spending examined does not show the percentage saved. Nor does the number of proposals reveal which reforms have been adopted or what their net result will be.

The Ministry of Finance's spending review guidelines require assessment of a service's necessity, outcomes, costs and alternatives. They provide grounds to demand more than a list of meetings: measurable benefits and an explanation of how the service will change.

Has a report nevertheless been submitted to the government?

Yes. On 6 October, the Ministry of Finance announced the submission of a separate report concerning spending at the end of 2026. It includes proposals to restrict new contracts and lower-priority expenditure. It is not the document intended to set out the full spending review results.

Submitting proposals does not, by itself, establish that they have been adopted or that savings have already been achieved.

What does this mean for Latvian businesses?

Editorial practical assessment: a company's priority is to identify which of its revenues or investments depend on public funding that has not yet been approved.

  • For public sector suppliers: distinguish signed contracts from planned orders and establish the funding status of the specific contracting authority.
  • For support programme applicants: show awarded funding separately from programmes that have merely been promised in cash-flow projections.
  • For company management: calculate a scenario in which a planned public contract starts later or on a smaller scale.
  • On taxes: assess specific changes against the relevant proposal or adopted rule. A funding shortfall figure does not, by itself, set a new tax rate.

What answers should the next report provide?

To allow businesses and the public to assess the savings achieved, each measure needs clear answers:

  1. Which function or expenditure item is changing?
  2. What are the net savings after implementation costs?
  3. Will the savings recur every year?
  4. Are costs being shifted to local authorities, customers or businesses?
  5. What decision has already been adopted, who is responsible and when will there be a measurable result?

Verifiable decisions, deadlines and calculations will allow officials' accountability to be assessed. Simply learning that expenditure has been reviewed is not enough for a business to plan next year with confidence.

Official information sources

Journalistic sources

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